OpenAI Declares 'Code Red': Is GPT-5.2 Being Rushed to Counter Gemini 3.0's Dominance?

🚨 OpenAI Declares 'Code Red': Facing Its Biggest Crisis Since Founding?

Tension is once again gripping the global AI market. According to industry sources on December 8th (local time), OpenAI has issued an internal 'Code Red' to counter the fierce pursuit by Google's Gemini.

There are even observations that the release date of GPT-5.2, originally scheduled for the end of this month, could be moved up to as early as tomorrow, December 9th. What on earth is happening to OpenAI, which seemed untouchable just a year ago?

1. A Tectonic Shift in Market Share: The Crumbling Monopoly

The primary cause is the drastic change in market share. The formula "Generative AI = ChatGPT" is breaking down. Recent data from market research firm SimilarWeb is shocking:

  • 📉 ChatGPT (OpenAI): 87% → 71.3% (Clear downward trend)
  • 📈 Gemini (Google): 5.7% → 15.1% (Nearly 3x growth in one year)

Following its recent 3.0 update, Gemini is explosively expanding its user base and rapidly eroding OpenAI's market share.


2. The Performance Gap Shock: HLE Benchmark (Gemini vs. GPT)

The decisive blow that sent OpenAI executives into a panic was performance metrics. The tables turned dramatically with the release of results from the 'HLE (Humanity’s Last Exam)' benchmark, which evaluates PhD-level reasoning capabilities.

Model Name HLE Score Note
Gemini 3 Pro 38.3% 👑 Dominant #1
GPT-5 25.3% Existing Leader

Gemini 3.0 Pro recorded a staggering 38.3%, leaving GPT-5, which remained at 25.3%, far behind. Furthermore, Gemini's image generation and editing feature, 'NanoBanana Pro', is receiving positive reviews, giving it an edge in multi-modal competition as well.


3. Sam Altman's Power Play: Project 'Garlic' and Early Release

In response, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman implied in an internal memo that "this is a wartime situation," ordering staff to halt other work and focus on model improvement. Two countermeasures are currently known:

  1. Project 'Garlic': A secret weapon (New LLM) being prepared under the leadership of CRO Mark Chen.
  2. GPT-5.2 Early Debut: Originally scheduled for late December, they have played a super-aggressive card to move the release up to December 9th to turn the tide.

4. Conclusion: A Joyful War for Consumers

OpenAI's 'Code Red' is paradoxically good news for us users. When the top company feels a crisis and accelerates technology development, service quality improves dramatically.

Can OpenAI show a powerful counterpunch tomorrow (the 9th) to stop Gemini 3.0's solo run? Or will the era of Gemini truly begin? The battle for supremacy in the AI market, Round 2 has officially begun.

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